Leadership turnover is accelerating in some of America’s largest companies, while the skills and experience required to reach the C-suite are evolving. Rising CFO departures, greater reliance on external executive hires, and the emergence of AI-focused leadership roles are creating new challenges for boards and more opportunities for the human capital industry. Evan Berta, an associate at Hunt Scanlon Ventures, examines Crist|Kolder Associates’ latest research and what these changes could mean for executive search, leadership advisory, and M&A across the talent sector.
Crist|Kolder Associates’ latest 2026 Mid-Year Volatility Report provides a detailed look at leadership trends across 665 Fortune 500 and S&P 500 companies. Tracking executive changes through July 31, the research examines CEO, CFO, and COO turnover, career paths, diversity, and the emergence of new leadership positions as organizations adapt to an increasingly complex business environment.
The findings reveal a changing executive landscape. CFO turnover is projected to reach 18.3 percent in 2026, its highest level since the pandemic, while CEO turnover is expected to remain near its historical average at 11.1 percent. External recruitment is also gaining momentum, with 27.3 percent of new CEOs and 37.5 percent of new CFOs hired from outside their organizations.
Together, these trends point to an expanding role for executive search and leadership advisory firms, said Hunt Scanlon Ventures’ associate Evan Berta. As companies reassess succession pipelines, finance leadership, and emerging technological capabilities, identifying executives with the right experience and adaptability is becoming increasingly important, he notes.
CFO Turnover Creates New Demand
One of the report’s most significant findings is the continued volatility in the CFO position. Through July, 72 CFO changes had occurred across the companies studied, with the industrial sector accounting for 19.4 percent of those departures. The projected annual turnover rate of 18.3 percent stands above the decade average of 16 percent.
“As CFO responsibilities expand beyond financial reporting into strategy, capital allocation, and transformation, boards need executives who can combine financial discipline with the ability to guide organizations through change.”
The changing profile of finance leadership is equally notable. Newly appointed CFOs have an average age at hire of 48.2, the youngest in a decade and more than five years below the corresponding figure for CEOs. These findings suggest that companies are increasingly willing to consider a younger generation of finance executives as they evaluate leadership needs.
“Finance leadership is one of the most consequential talent decisions companies make,” said Evan Berta, an associate at Hunt Scanlon Ventures. “As CFO responsibilities expand beyond financial reporting into strategy, capital allocation, and transformation, boards need executives who can combine financial discipline with the ability to guide organizations through change.”
For executive search firms, that evolution creates opportunities beyond traditional CFO placements. Succession planning, executive assessment, leadership development, and advisory services can help organizations evaluate whether internal candidates possess the capabilities required for increasingly demanding finance roles. “We are seeing deal flow at that end of the market intensify,” said Mr. Berta.
External Hiring Gains Ground
Crist|Kolder’s research also points to a greater willingness among companies to recruit senior executives externally. The 27.3 percent external hiring rate for new CEOs is above the historical average of 24 percent, while the 37.5 percent rate for CFOs represents an increase from 35 percent in 2025.
The differences across industries are particularly striking. All new CEOs appointed in the consumer sector during the period were internal promotions, while every new CEO in the technology sector came from outside the organization. The contrast illustrates how leadership sourcing strategies can vary considerably depending on industry sector dynamics and organizational requirements.
“The increase in external hiring suggests that companies are taking a broader view of where their next generation of leaders will come from,” said Mr. Berta. “For executive search firms, the opportunity extends beyond identifying candidates to helping boards understand which leadership capabilities are missing internally and where outside experience can create the greatest value.”
That distinction is important because the report also finds that most sitting CEOs and CFOs did not move directly from equivalent positions. More than 40 percent of CEOs came from internal COO or president roles, while corporate finance, controllership, and other internal leadership positions remain important pathways to the CFO seat. For search and advisory firms, evaluating executive potential increasingly requires looking beyond titles toward transferable capabilities and readiness.
AI Creates a New Leadership Category
Perhaps the clearest indication of how executive requirements are evolving appears in the report’s AI analysis. Crist|Kolder identifies 71 companies, or 10.7 percent of its sample, with a Chief AI Officer or equivalent enterprise-wide AI leadership position.
Healthcare leads adoption at 18.5 percent, followed by financial services at 15.3 percent and technology at 12.6 percent. Companies including Boeing, Eli Lilly, FactSet, and McDonald’s are among those identified as having established AI leadership positions.
The emergence of these roles creates another area of potential growth for executive search and leadership advisory firms. Organizations must identify executives capable of connecting technological innovation with business strategy, workforce transformation, and operational performance, often requiring combinations of experience that traditional leadership pipelines have not consistently produced.
“AI is creating an entirely new category of leadership demand,” said Mr. Berta. “Companies increasingly need executives who understand the technology but can also translate it into organizational capabilities, redesign workflows, and bring people through transformation. That combination of technical expertise and leadership judgment will be increasingly valuable.”
The development also has implications for talent intelligence and assessment providers. As organizations recruit for emerging positions without long-established career pathways, evaluating capabilities, adaptability, and leadership potential could become more important than relying exclusively on conventional experience.
What It Means for Human Capital M&A
These changing leadership requirements could also influence investment activity across the human capital industry. Executive search firms with established CFO, board, technology, and transformation practices may become increasingly attractive to strategic acquirers and private equity investors seeking specialized capabilities and differentiated client relationships.
The opportunity extends into adjacent services. Leadership assessment, succession advisory, executive coaching, talent intelligence, and AI-enabled recruiting platforms can complement traditional search businesses, creating opportunities for firms to broaden their offerings organically or through acquisitions.
“Firms that combine trusted executive relationships with leadership assessment, succession capabilities, and technology-enabled intelligence may be particularly well positioned as buyers look to build more comprehensive advisory platforms.”
“From an M&A perspective, specialized expertise is becoming an increasingly important differentiator across human capital,” said Mr. Berta. “Firms that combine trusted executive relationships with leadership assessment, succession capabilities, and technology-enabled intelligence may be particularly well positioned as buyers look to build more comprehensive advisory platforms.”
Crist|Kolder’s report does not directly measure human capital M&A activity, but its findings help explain why certain capabilities could become more strategically valuable. Greater executive turnover and more complex leadership requirements can create demand for specialized advisory services, potentially strengthening the investment case for businesses positioned to deliver them, said Mr. Berta.
A More Demanding Leadership Market
The broader picture emerging from Crist|Kolder’s research is one of continuing change in the executive talent market. CFO turnover remains elevated, external hiring is increasing, and organizations are introducing leadership positions that barely existed a decade ago. At the same time, traditional succession pathways remain important, requiring companies to balance internal development with access to outside talent.
For executive search and leadership advisory firms, those developments create opportunities to move closer to the strategic decisions boards and management teams are making about organizational capability and long-term performance.
For investors across the human capital sector, the implications are equally meaningful. As leadership needs become more specialized, firms capable of combining executive search, assessment, succession planning, and technology-driven intelligence could become increasingly differentiated.
The next phase of growth in human capital may therefore be shaped not simply by the number of executive positions companies need to fill, but by the ability of advisory firms to help organizations determine what leadership they need, and how to secure it.
Article By

Evan Berta
Evan Berta is Editor-in-Chief of ExitUp, the investment blog from Hunt Scanlon Ventures designed for professionals across the human capital M&A sector. Evan serves as an Associate for Hunt Scanlon Ventures, specializing in data analysis, market mapping, and target list preparation.






